Were we right?

Most people who talk about stocks quietly forget their bad calls. We don't. Every forecast we make is saved here with its date — and when that date arrives, we put the real price next to what we said, right or wrong, nothing deleted. So you can judge for yourself how good our forecasts actually are.

How we pick the check date

From 27 July 2026 every new forecast is checked at 1 month and 3 months from the day it was published — real calendar dates. If that date is a weekend or a public holiday on that exchange, we check on the next day it actually trades. Nothing else moves it.

Every forecast on this page is checked at 1 month or 3 months. A calendar month is about 21 trading sessions and a calendar quarter about 63, but the count varies with each exchange’s own holidays — which is exactly why we anchor to the date rather than to a session count.

The engine was re-calibrated to match: the backtest that validates each cone now measures the same calendar window we publish, instead of a fixed session count. Full methodology →

How we check: each forecast gives a likely range. When its date comes, we see whether the real price landed inside that range, and keep a running tally. If our "9 times out of 10" ranges are honest, the price should land inside them about 9 times out of 10 — more often means we're being too cautious, less often means we're too confident.

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